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So the results are slow progress for a borough-changing megaproject announced in 2003, approved in 2006, and re-approved in 2009, with the purported benefits--building over a "blighted" railyard, income-targeted "affordable" housing, new jobs and tax revenues, open space, removal of "blight"--long estimated to arrive within a ten-year buildout.
Nov. 19: New Developers Seek to Supersize Project: Total 9,000 Units, Instead of 6,430. Taller Towers (and One Subtraction) Allow More Open Space.
Nov. 26: Developers’ Affordable Housing Rhetoric Suggests Low-Income Units Not a Priority.

Dec. 2: As Developers Propose Much Larger Buildings, Their Renderings Distort Reality.
Jan. 11, 2026: New Views of Site 5: 2021 Schematic and Glass-Walled Structure. Plus: Unofficial Rendering
| Unofficial rendering of potential configuration |
Feb. 11, 2026: A "No-Brainer": Cirrus Crows About Leveraging $200M of Discounted Debt to Control Atlantic Yards
March 5, 2026: Developer Cirrus Seeking $350M in State Subsidies to Build Crucial Railyard Platform
March 20, 2026: State Promises 500 (25%) Initial Low-Income Units. Critics Note It Wouldn't Make Up for Shortfall.

July 3, 2026: Developers Express Confidence About New Designs, but Ignore Some Inconvenient Facts
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| Chart from BrooklynSpeaks, with slight annotations |
Below is a chart listing various promises and realities as of 2025, as explained further in my Feb. 26, 2025 Substack article, "Jobs, Housing & Hoops"? Tallying Key Atlantic Yards Promises and Realities.
See my Nov. 4, 2024 article for Common Edge, Delays Undermine Promises of Affordable Housing in Brooklyn, and the infographic below, thanks to my regular collaborator Ben Keel. For backing data, go here. Here's info on the growth of Area Median Income, or AMI.

Meanwhile, the developers have taken advantage of direct public assistance, tax breaks, an override of zoning, the state's use of eminent domain, and a wired public process that bows to their interests, providing crucial slack when economic and political cycles make development tougher.
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| Chart by Empire State Development |
Momentum has come in spurts. By mid-2023, 3,212 apartments, of an approved 6,430 units, were finished, with 30% of the units in the four most recent towers income-restricted, or "affordable"--but not that affordable, as described below.
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| July 2026 update |
The future has been cloudy, especially since the prospect of a foreclosure sale surfaced in late November 2023. A platform over the railyard is necessary before vertical construction, and that's been percolating for a while.
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| B5 through B7, with B4 at far left |
Similarly, permits were filed (and revised) in 2020 for B5, to be built along with the platform--but it didn't launch.
The project has gone through many changes.
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| August 2017 image, based on previous plans |
That further undermined one of the purported rationales for the project: the removal of the "blight" of an open railyard, which requires a deck for development.
General backstory & timeline
See my essay on the Culture of Cheating and the missing promised jobs. And my history of original developer Forest City Ratner, now Forest City New York.
- 2003-2006: Announcement, Debate/Protests, First Approval
- 2007-2009: Recession, Lawsuits, Project Revisions, New Nets Owner
- 2010-2012: Arena Launch, Timetable Questions, Arena Opening, Modular Gambit
- 2013-2014: Delays Loom, Modular Stall, New Investor, New (Affordable) Timetable
- 2015-2018: Initial Construction, Forest City Stall, Upheaval, and Exit, New Nets Owner
- 2019-2024: New Developers Enter, Middle-Income Focus, Railyard Platform Delayed; Foreclosure Pending
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| Screenshot from original project website |
According to New York State's analysis, the project was expected to directly displace 171 residential units housing an estimated 410 residents and 27 businesses and two institutions, with 306 employees.
The image below is cropped from a Greenland USA press release. It omits the planned/proposed tower at Site 5, at the far west of the image.
A January 2018 graphic of the full buildout
The below graphic is more of a concept plan than a confirmed representation, from the firm L&L MAG (which in 2018 had a service contract with minority shareholder Forest City New York to represent the Greenland Forest City Partners joint venture, but apparently lost it as of 2019), but it does show the bulk from a different angle.
I've since annotated it with dates showing the opening of buildings. Note that the huge two-tower Site 5 project--the tall shaft at the west of the image--gotten a significant boost from New York State, thought it hasn't been officially approved. The towers over the railyard, of course, don't exist.
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| At left is B4, flanking the Barclays Center. In the center are B5/B6/B7. |
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| TF Cornerstone |
The plan proposed in 2025 would make a shift from a design long criticized for appearing to prioritize space perceived as private courtyards, eliminating B9 for open space.
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| A massing model (2015?) from landscape architect swa/Balsley (which is no longer involved). Added annotations indicate the planned elimination of B8 tower and older plan for open space between B12/B13 towers. |
In November 2025, the developers released the image below.
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| From developer presentation |
It's 22 acres, with public property--the Metropolitan Transportation Authority's Vanderbilt Yard--representing about 8.5 acres and public streets at least 3 acres. (In other words, it's not building "over a railyard.")
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| Looking north from Flatbush & Sixth Aves., March 2021 Note the completed B2 & B3 & under-construction B4 & B15 |
Forest City in 2010 sold 45% of the arena operating company to Mikhail Prokhorov's Brooklyn Sports & Entertainment and in 2016 sold the rest to Prokhorov. (Prokhorov had bought 80% of the Nets in the first transaction, and the remaining portion in the second.)
Prokhorov in 2017 sold 49% of the Nets to billionaire Joe Tsai, and in 2019 sold the remainder of the Nets to Tsai, as well as the arena operating company. (I've argued that the sale of the Nets was not a record, as touted.)
The development sites are owned by New York State, but leased to the master developer, which can then sublease the sites; the new developer, after construction, can take ownership. The one tower built/operated solely by Forest City, 461 Dean (aka B2), was sold in 2018 to Principal Global Investors.
Forest City retained a 30% share of the three towers built before 2018 by the joint venture Greenland Forest City Partners: 535 Carlton, 38 Sixth, and 550 Vanderbilt. The joint venture, with Greenland owning 95% going forward, was to build the remaining towers.
However, since then Greenland Forest City sold the rights to build on three development sites: B15 to The Brodsky Organization and B12 and B13 to TF Cornerstone. Greenland partnered with Brodsky on B4. Forest City had exited from B4 and Site 5.
How much will the project cost to build?
That's been a moving target As I wrote in 2016, the project price tag, initially $2.5 billion and long described as about $5 billion, had been described in a Sept. 16, 2014 press release issued by Greenland Holding Group, parent of Greenland USA, as involving a total investment of $6.6 billion.
Where can documents regarding the project be found?
Try Empire State Development's new project site. Also, ESD's About Atlantic Yards page (now archived), has a link to more Additional Resources
Pacific Park Brooklyn (archived, now inactive web site) had a Community Liaison Office (CLO), once located on-site, now operating virtually. The CLO can be reached by phone at 866-923-5315, maybe. Some residents near site construction may be eligible to receive and have installed double-paned or storm windows and an in-window air conditioning unit.
Empire State Development, the state authority that oversees/shepherds the project, can be contacted here, and can put you on a mailing list for Construction Updates, as well as last-minute updates, and other project-related information. Those Construction Updates were typically circulated every two weeks, but that's been suspended since late 2023, when no new work was foreseen.
The Barclays Center sends out a monthly event schedule to neighbors. Contact Community Relations--see link here. It once had a 24-hour hotline for malfunctions of the blinking Oculus, but no longer.
What's the capacity of the arena?
The Pacific Park Conservancy oversees the project’s open space. However, as I reported, it’s something of a phantom, with no website or named officers.
As of May 2024, the phone on stanchions, 347-292-6479, didn’t work. That phone number was said to be updatedto 646-930-4852 and its email, conservancy@pacificparkbrooklyn.nyc, is supposed to be working.
Here's a project timeline. Here's a visual history, up through 2010.
A 2035 "outside date" was assigned for the project, with penalties for delay applied to only a few buildings and the platform. The affordable housing was due in 2025 but not met, so that deadline surely will be renegotiated.
Here's another reason for expected delay: the developer doesn't need to finish paying for railyard development rights until June 2030.
The first tower was supposed to break ground in late 2010, but Forest City moved the goalposts at least eight times. It finally broke ground in December 2012, but took nearly four years to build.
The project was originally supposed to have 4,500 rental apartments in 11 towers, plus four office towers with space to house 10,000 jobs.
In 2014, the state and community negotiators from the coalition BrooklynSpeaks, which had threatened a fair-housing lawsuit regarding delayed affordable housing, agreed to a settlement, with a May 31, 2025 deadline for the affordable housing, and to soon start building two "100% affordable" rental towers.
While many assumed--based on a tentative timetable/map dated Aug. 13, 2014 (below)--that 2025 represented the likely finish date for the entire project, that's long been untenable, both in schedule and configuration. For example, the loss of a tax break for condo buildings made them unlikely.
However, the 2014 changes reframed the configuration of affordability, with a severe skewing to middle-income units. Instead of devoting 20% of the units in the two "100% affordable" towers to units in Band 5, the most expensive cohort, those buildings have 50% Band 5 units.
Four towers were completed (or nearly so) when, in 2016, Forest City Realty Trust, at that point the junior partner in the joint venture with Greenland USA, announced it would pause new construction, citing rising construction costs and a glut of competing buildings nearby.
In early 2018, after Greenland agreed to acquire most of Forest City's remaining share, the developer said it aimed to start a new building, B4, in 2019.
In October 2018, after Greenland said it had sold rights to three development sites, it projected that B15 would start in 2019, while B12 and B13 would start in 2019 or 2020. (It was 2020.) All would be rentals, rather than containing condos in part or in full.
Will there be more condos?
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| Color coding pairs buildings with similar rental configurations: Site 5/B6, etc. |
Yes. But it didn't work.
What buildings have been built most recently?
B4 (18 Sixth Ave., aka Brooklyn Crossing), on the northeast corner of the arena block, started in 2019, began to open early in 2022 and was completed that fall.
The rental tower sites B12 and B13, on the southeast block, started in summer 2020, and began to open as of April 2023. That included one year to excavate the enormous space for a below-ground fitness center and fieldhouse. (B12, at that point a condo building, was unveiled in September 2015 as 615 Dean Street.)
At least two years, depending on size and complexity.
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| Block 1121 requires a platform for |
That could take longer, since tower construction must be proceeded and/or accompanied by construction, perhaps in multiple phases, for each of three sections of the platform required for vertical construction over the railyard.
The overall elapsed time for the platform could take six years, or less, depending on how much has been done in preliminary work, and how much is done simultaneously.
The platform will be easier to build on Block 1120, home to B5/B6/B7, because far more preliminary work has been completed, and also because part of that block is already at grade (street level), thanks to the demolition of two buildings that "bumped" into the railyard.
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| From 2019 coverage |
Right. Nor would it deck the railyard and knit neighborhoods together, as long promised.
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| In back of 535 Carlton |
Presumably the next environmental review, which launches in August 2026 and should take 18 months, will reveal more changes.
They haven't released street-level views of the buildings, but rather of the open space, which is highly selective. (In the background below are buildings already constructed.)
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| Looking east at dog runs, with 595 Dean West Tower in background |
While a substantial, if smaller, building had already been approved, the developers want to transfer the bulk of the unbuilt B1 tower, once slated to loom over the arena, creating a much larger structure.
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| 2016 proposal |
That would require a public process, including hearings and public comment, to change the project's guiding General Project Plan. As of late 2019, that process was supposed to get closer to launching; as of mid-2022, that process seemed to be approaching, as roadblocks have been removed. But it hasn't moved ahead.
As of now, 1,374.
- Band 1 (low-income): 225 / 40
- Band 2 (low-income): 675 / 214
- Band 3 (moderate-income: 450 / 76
- Band 4 (middle-income): 450 / 718
- Band 5 (middle-income): 450 / 326
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| March 2019: B14 has 298 units; the super's unit might count as affordable but was not in the lottery. That said, Exhibit M counts only 297 units. |
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| Original rents for affordable units |
As the affordable units are rent-stabilized, the rents rise each year, based on the annual increase set by the Rent Guidelines Board.
Of the 2,250 expected market-rate rentals, 182 were initially built, plus 218 in B15 and 600 in B4; B12 and B13 added 286 and 272, respectively. That leaves 792 to be built, at least according to the official plans. But that's likely an undercount.
Of the 1,930 approved condos, 278 are built, and 1,652 remain to be built. That said, plans announced in 2014 indicated only 1,033 condos, which implied more market-rate rentals.
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| Unofficial estimate, for households of 2 people. |
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| Unofficial estimate, for households of 4 people. |
Yes, but Forest City backed off that pledge for two- and three-bedroom units with the first tower. 461 Dean. The next two rental towers, 535 Carlton and 38 Sixth, did have 35% of the apartments (in unit count) for families, which likely comes close to the square footage goals.
How many people are expected?
Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park, as of 2006, had a projected 6,430 apartments housing 2.1 persons per unit (according to Chapter 4 of the 2006 Final Environmental Impact Statement), which would mean 13,503 new residents.
Now, with 8,812 units proposed, if the same number of people/unit were estimated, that could mean a total of 18,505 people.
- 461 Dean (B2; 181 below-market rentals, 182 market rentals, 762 residents when full)
- 535 Carlton (B14; 298 below-market rentals (inc. one super's unit), 626 residents when full)
- 550 Vanderbilt (B11; 278 condos, 584 residents when full)
- 38 Sixth (B3; 303 below-market rentals, 636 residents when full)
- 662 Pacific (B15; 94 below-market rentals, 218 market rentals, 655 residents when full)
- 18 Sixth (B4; 258 below-market rentals, 600 market rentals, 1,802 residents when full)
- 595 Dean (B12/B13; 240 below-market rentals, 558 market rentals, 1,676 residents when full)
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| July 2006, pre-revision |
See the two charts at right regarding maximum approved heights and square footages. The first is the original, the second is revised.
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| December 2006, revised |
The project’s overall density would be more concentrated on the western end of the project site (the arena block and Site 5), where the overall density would equate to a floor area ratio (FAR) of 8.6 (10.3 FAR not including the area of the streetbeds incorporated into the project site); the FAR on the project site east of 6th Avenue and would be 7.4 (8.2 without the streetbeds incorporated into the project site). The total FAR of the proposed project would be 7.8 (9.0 without the streetbeds incorporated into the project site).
The project approved in 2006 was to include 3,670 below-grade parking spaces. In 2014, the parking requirement was proposed for a cut, first to 2,896 spaces and then to 1,200 spaces. In 2019, the total was cut to 1,000 spaces, with these estimated uses: 300 for the arena, 24 for the New York Police Department, and 676 for residents.
However, the configuration shifted. See the graphic up top. While Site 5 is still programmed to have parking, the developers aim to eliminate it, as shown in the slide below.
Well, it shuttered the Barclays Center in March 2020, and the #BlackLivesMatter protests turned it into what I called an accidental town square. The arena reopened, without ticketed fans (though some guests), for Nets basketball in December 2020.
The 2014 settlement that set up the new 2025 deadline for affordable housing also led to the creation of the Atlantic Yards Community Development Corporation (AY CDC), which is supposed to meet quarterly and advise on the project.
The AY CDC is dominated by gubernatorial appointees, and has been mostly toothless, until recently. In August 2019, it delivered an anomalous deadlocked vote, unwilling to endorse (or oppose) new below-grade space for a fitness center and field house. That had no impact on the eventual approval, however.
Times have changed since 2003-2009, when City Council Member Letitia James (now Attorney General) and then-Borough President Marty Markowitz were on opposite poles, with fervent opposition countered by even more flagrant boosterism.
James was allied with Develop Don’t Destroy Brooklyn, which is defunct. Most elected officials have checked out or are vaguely supportive. Several local officials follow cues from BrooklynSpeaks, the coalition that continues, thanks to a few active individuals, plus the cooperation of neighborhood and advocacy groups, to advocate for accountability and deeper affordability.
Here's my imperfect analysis:
- Gov. Kathy Hochul: like all the governors, likely to help ease the project's forward path
- New Mayor Zohran Mamdani is a supporter of the new plan
- Former Mayor Eric Adams was a steady supporter as Borough President, though his office had supported efforts to increase accountability; as Mayor, he became "City of Yes"
- (Former Mayor) Bill de Blasio: steady, not-so-informed supporter, given the importance of "affordable housing"
- Sen. Chuck Schumer: longtime supporter, especially at the start
- Rep. Dan Goldman: occasionally supportive of BrooklynSpeaks
- Rep. Yvette Clarke: a steady supporter, if not particularly vocal
- Rep. Hakeem Jeffries: it's no longer in his district (he was the Assembly rep for the project), but he's been a mild supporter and occasional critic
- Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso: position unclear; he's been somewhat critical but has shown up for arena photo ops
- State Sen. Jabari Brisport, in 2021 replacing Velmanette Montgomery (a longtime ally of James's and project critic, but who didn't make the project a priority); he's been supportive of BrooklynSpeaks
- Assemblymember Jo Anne Simon: a supporter of BrooklynSpeaks, she's been moderately critical
- Assemblymember Robert Carroll; moderate critic, supportive of BrooklynSpeaks
A lot of people have shrugged at the arena, which has not been as impactful as feared. But there's a general cloud over the project, thanks to the various challenges raised by project opponents and critics, as well as journalism, a documentary film, and a musical play.
Was Mayor Mike Bloomberg a party to the Community Benefits Agreement?
No, he signed it as a witness.
Investor Londell McMillan said "it breaks my heart to have been a party of the project." Fervent public testifier Umar Jordan said "they played Brooklyn." Former state overseer Arana Hankin said "there really is no accountability."
A leading industry middleman, who worked on the second and third rounds of Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park EB-5 fundraising, admitted that his projects typically don't need the money. That means EB-5 doesn't create jobs, which is the rationale behind the program.
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| 80 Flatbush initial proposal, near left. Arrow = Site 5 |
Until Atlantic Yards was announced, the 512-foot Williamsburgh Savings Bank tower, with a distinctive clock, was the tallest building in Brooklyn.
Now it won't be built, as the arena's plaza will persist, but the bulk of Miss Brooklyn is expected to be transferred across Flatbush Avenue to Site 5, and a tower could reach 799 feet.
The bank building has been sold: the upper floor offices are now condos, and the bank space became an event space, and will be transformed into a food court.
The developers claim that their new plan is in context, but that's a stretch. For example, there'd be a dramatic difference between the two proposed towers near Vanderbilt Avenue, B9 (569 feet) and B10 (463 feet), and the towers built or approved nearby as spot rezonings or as part of the Atlantic Avenue Mixed-Use Plan, as the chart below suggests.
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| The now-built 550 Clinton Avenue, with/near Pacific Park |
A new 312-foot tower just northeast of the Pacific Park site, 550 Clinton Avenue, shows the changing context, as well as awkward transition of the project to the south. It's known as the Axel.
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| McDonald's site approved for 195'; buildings with blue/white stars are unbuilt; those with blue/orange stars have been built |
What are some common mistakes in Atlantic Yards news coverage over the years?
- Atlantic Yards is a project, not a place
- It was not designed to be "over the railyards"
- The project site is not in "Downtown Brooklyn"
- Pacific Park is not a new neighborhood in itself (even a project architect called it an "extension to the existent neighborhood")
- It was not a product of a "rezoning" and/or city approval
- It was not the "same site" Walter O'Malley sought for a new Dodgers stadium (CJR coverage)
- It would not provide $6 billion in new tax revenue
- There were not 34 lawsuits
- It's an arena, not a "stadium" (which is open-air)
The arena opened with a rubber roof. The green roof was not installed, as claimed, merely as a public amenity. It was also aimed to tamp down noise escaping from the arena, and did so. So the arena's not that good a neighbor.
What's the total amount of subsidies, direct and indirect?
That's a tough one. But direct city and state subsidies total $305 million, or $285 million. (Forest City Ratner's seemingly generous payouts for property owners relied on $131 million in public funding from the city.)
New York State in 2006 said there'd be $292.9 million from mortgage recording and sales tax exemptions. That significantly undercounts public contributions, both in increased service costs and tax-exempt financing, as well as direct housing subsidies.
However, city and state agencies backing the project said the IBO was wrong in not calculating the impact of the whole project (which the city agency said was impossible to do).
I'd add that the IBO left out the $200 million-plus value of the arena naming rights, which the state gave away. No one has counted the naming rights as a subsidy, though a state official once said that it was part of the financing for the arena. And no one's yet specified the overall value of housing subsidies.
What other benefits are there?
Beyond that, the agency agreed to accept a smaller replacement railyard. The developer got to save about $100 million. However, infrastructure costs have risen significantly.
How much are subway station naming rights (Atlantic Avenue-Barclays Center) worth?
$4 million, over 20 years. Paid for by the project developer and arena operator, not Barclays, to help steer people to their venue. An MTA official once stated that, given two stations in the complex, "it will be Atlantic/Barclays Arena and the Pacific Street/Barclays Arena." Then they were consolidated for clarity.
How much were uniform sponsorships, by Webull, worth?
Was the Atlantic Yards site truly blighted, a prerequisite for eminent domain?
I found that very very very dubious.
Do you lead walking tours of the Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park site, and environs? What about a class lecture over Zoom (or a similar platform)?
Sure, and tour guide is my other career.























































Great/helpful update (as always). What's the status of the school?
ReplyDeleteSee updates in FAQ for additional info.
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