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Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park infographics: what's built/what's coming/what's missing, who's responsible, + project FAQ/timeline (pinned post)

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Greenland Holding Group, parent of main Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park developer, rises to #125 on Fortune Global 500. But profits slowed, and debts mount.

Fortune magazine on 8/3/22 released its annual Global 500 list, with Greenland Holding Group, parent of the main Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park developer Greenland USA,  rising to #125 from #142. That mostly steady ascent that nonetheless lags behind previously  stated  (in 2014) ambition to reach the top 100 by 2020. The well-known Fortune Global 500 ranking relies solely on revenue in the past fiscal year. The lesser-known Forbes Global 2000  bases  its assessment on four broad metrics: a composite score assessing sales (revenue), profits, assets, and market value. (I'll have more on that tomorrow.) Neither takes notice of Greenland's significant debts, which have caused its credit rating to plunge to Selective Default, as per S&P, before  recovering slightly . And its stock price is down . Looking at the numbers Screenshots from Fortune The company information shown at right obscures some significant differences between the report a year earlier. For example, while revenu

Latest six-month look-ahead from developer still fuzzy about whether platform work will start, omits work on B5

Well, Greenland Forest City Partners (GFCP) still doesn't sound completely confident that work on the first phase of the platform, crucial to the construction of three towers, will start in the second half of this year. That's according to the latest six-month look-ahead (bottom), covering the second half of 2022, that the master developer is supposed to file with Empire State Development (ESD), which oversees/shepherds the project. Also, GFCP does not say that any specific work on the B5 tower--700 Atlantic Avenue, also bordered by Sixth Avenue and Pacific Street--would start in this half of the year, according to the document. That said, the developer has said B5 wouldn't rise until next year, and it's not unlikely some of the work announced contributes to that parcel, even if the tower isn't mentioned. That document, dated 6/9/22,  again says--as it did in three previous iterations --that "Platform construction may commence during the reporting period."

Arena company reports $18M in profits in second half of FY 2022; that won't pay construction debt. Sponsorship revenue seems down (give-backs?).

The Barclays Center operating company made an $18 million profit, of sorts, in the first six months of calendar year 2022, according to financial documents recently disclosed to bondholders. See screenshot at right. But that result, coupled with a stagnant first half of the 2022 fiscal year, won't be enough to cover the arena's construction debt in FY 2022, which ended June 30. So that means that owner Joe Tsai will have to dip into his pocketbook to cover the payments, as he has pledged . Limited schedule So even a busy season for the Brooklyn Nets, with high ticket prices, didn't make up for a slow schedule for other events, including concerts. As I wrote in February, the arena company barely broke even in the first half of the fiscal year--see screenshot at left--but needs some $37.8 million for required PILOTs, or payments in lieu of taxes , of which $26.2 million goes toward debt service on arena construction bonds. Most of the rest goes back to the arena company to b

The escalator at the arena plaza is (finally) under repair. Why can't we easily learn more?

Aug. 5, 2022 The escalators at the arena plaza have been out since at least July 22, as I wrote , but I couldn't get any explanation from the arena operator as to how long or why. Was it associated with plaza repair work? That seems unlikely. Rather, it's just another example of faulty equipment and/or maintenance. On Friday, Aug. 5, when I walked by, the escalators were under repair. In fact, the down escalator was running, albeit without any access, apparently as part of a test run. The up escalator was getting worked on. So maybe they'll both be running soon, (Or who knows, maybe they fixed the problems by the end of the day.) But this shouldn't be the realm of speculation. A responsible operator--the arena company operates the escalator, as it controls the plaza--should make it easier to find out when the escalators (and elevator) are out of operation, when work is scheduled, and when the problem is expected to be fixed--and fixed. It shouldn't be that complicat

From the latest Construction Update: one sidewalk shed may be removed on Dean Street and open space work may start. Platform work still depends on permits.

The latest Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park Construction Update (bottom), covering the two weeks beginning Monday, Aug. 8, was circulated 8/5/22 at 10:51 pm (lead time) by Empire State Development (ESD) after preparation by Greenland Forest City Partners (GFCP), which is dominated by Greenland USA. There's not much new compared to the  previous update , and the document again excludes the most dramatic change around the project footprint--the work at the arena plaza for revamping of the pavement and other features.  The one notable change regards work on the southeast block, at the B12/B13 (615 Dean St.595 Dean St.) sites: The removal of the West Courtyard Sidewalk Shed (the north half of the sidewalk shed located between the West tower of 595 Dean St. and 535 Carlton Ave. may be scheduled for the week of 8/15/22. Courtyard fencing between East tower [615 Dean St.]and 550 Vanderbilt Ave. as well as the West tower and 535 Carlton Ave. may be installed so that the build out of the open sp

So, could developer market development rights at railyard and Site 5? Not right now, except perhaps B5. But stay tuned for discussions/renegotiations.

In my post yesterday about Greenland USA's challenges in the face of its parent company's financial strictures, I briefly raised a question: what else does the developer have to sell--future development rights to the railyard? to Site 5?--to fund the project going forward. Responding to my tweet, Gib Veconi, who as a leader of the BrooklynSpeaks coalition and a member of the Atlantic Yards Community Development Corporation is a key voice influencing local elected officials, suggested , "Development rights over railyards likely not marketable now due to looming #affordablehousing deadline and associated remedies." Yes, but... I think he's mostly right, but with some asterisks. As of now, given the May 2025 deadline to deliver 877 (or 876) more units of affordable housing, after which the developer--Greenland Forest City Partners (GFCP), owned 95% by Greenland USA--faces $2,000/month fines for each missing unit, no developer would want to buy development rights fo

Greenland Holding's stock has dropped 55% in five years; WSJ's 2019 advice to sell was sound; how will Greenland USA raise cash for Atlantic Yards?

Remember the advice , nearly three years ago, from Wall Street Journal columnist Mike Bird to sell Greenland Holdings Group (aka Greenland Holding Group), the parent of the main Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park developer, Greenland USA? He was right, as the company's stock price has dropped by more than half, as explained below. Bird's 8/28/19 column observed that that, despite growing property prices in China, and Shanghai-based Greenland celebrating a Forbes rank for fastest revenue growth, there were reasons to worry. (Note: Bird's original tweet, cited in my post, was later deleted.) While Greenland had cut debt in half, from a stratospheric figure, it had doubled "unearned revenues," which refers to properties bought by customers but not yet delivered. That left Greenland with a dangerously high figure of debt to assets of 89%, a bit higher than even some other large developers. Indeed, with the pandemic and national policies upending previous patterns, Greenland&