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Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park FAQ, timeline, and infographics (pinned post)

Will future of Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park be decided in foreclosure auctions, involving six railyard development sites, announced for today? Clues are elusive.

The future of Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park may get a significant new twist today--or maybe not.

Two paired foreclosure auctions, regarding developer Greenland USA affiliate's interest in six Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park development sites over the Vanderbilt Yard, are scheduled for today, as announced in late November, in news broken by The Real Deal.

Completion of those six large towers, comprising nearly 3.5 million square feet of approved development, could mean more than 3,200 apartments, plus retail and the remaining six acres of open space.

From Wall Street Journal
Those private auctions are scheduled for 4 pm at the office of--or with an online connection to--the lawyer representing the entity controlling the debt. 

The foreclosure sale involves the collateral for two separate loans, $249 million and $100 million, made by immigrant investors from China under the EB-5 visa program, which offers green cards in exchange for purportedly job-creating investments. 

Part of that first loan has been repaid, so the outstanding amount is about $285 million (by my calculation). 

Not that a bid would reach that, since it's unclear what developer would take this on, given the uncertainties and associated costs.

What we don't know

To me, at least, the whole thing remains a black box.

Since I wrote about it, no more clues have surfaced, though there has been more discussion--by The Real Deal, by me, by the coalition BrooklynSpeaks--of what went wrong with the project, and how things might proceed.

Somewhat surprisingly, Empire State Development (ESD), the state authority that oversees/shepherds the project, has not publicly discussed its role and the affordable housing (and other) obligations it would require of whatever company (or companies) might take control.

After all, it's a "public-private project," right?

Other uncertainties for any potential bidder involve the cost of construction, high interest rates, and the absence, for now, of the 421-a tax break.

Nor has ESDC scheduled a quarterly meeting of the advisory Atlantic Yards Community Development Corporation (AY CDC), which has mostly been toothless but, in its last meeting on Aug. 2, asked for a report on the project's financial viability.

That would include the developer's obligation to pay $2,000 a month in fines for each affordable housing unit not delivered by a May 2025 deadline. Of the 2,250 required units, 876 (or 877) remain.

That report, requested for early October, has not been delivered. 

Coordinating with MTA

As I wrote, any winning bidder(s) cannot simply start construction but must coordinate with the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) to build a platform, in two phases, over the the Vanderbilt Yard. 

That implies a significant time horizon as well as major investments, on top of the obligation--assuming it's not waived--to build the affordable housing.

Moreover, the two auctions are not commensurate: one involves four development sites (B5, B6, B7, B8), which means one full platform block and part of another, while the other involves two development sites (B9, B10), over the second platform block.

Graphic by Ben Keel & Norman Oder

As I wrote, the MTA has said that Greenland USA, the successor to original developer Forest City, is current with payments for railyard development rights (which came after payment for the site occupied by the arena block).

That means, by my calculation, a cumulative payment of $96 million, with $77 million left to go: $11 million a year for the next seven years.

That should be enough to have paid for the Air Rights Parcels B5, B6, and B7, but only partly for B8, much less B9 and B10.

But that doesn't mean they've acquired the sites, given the need for other coordination with the MTA.

Who's involved

The first transaction involves DBD AYB Funding LLC, Administrative Agent for both itself and AYB Funding 100, the investment pool that aggregated $249 million in EB-5 loans, in $500,000 increments.

Both are affiliates of the U.S. Immigration Fund, a so-called regional center that serves as a middleman for EB-5 loans, marketing mainly--at least as of 2014--to investors in China. (Its founder has a "tangled past," said Fortune, which could've been even tougher.)

For sale is AYB Funding's Class A limited liability membership interests in AY Phase II Development Company, an affiliate of Greenland USA.

That constitutes collateral for the loan. The principal asset of those membership interests are the parcels identified as B5, B6, B7, and B8 over the railyard.

The collateral will be sold to the highest qualified bidder, though the seller reserves the right to cancel or postpone the sale.

A similar advertisement and sale involves AYB Funding 200, which aggregated $100 million in EB-5 loans, with interest in the B9 and B10 parcels.

State role?

As I wrote, the project's guiding Development Agreement seems to give the state some sway.

In Section 10.2 (p. 27, or the 34th page of the PDF), it states that no transfers of any equity interest in the various development entities will "be permitted without the prior written consent of ESDC" (the former name of ESD), which shall be in the authority's "reasonable discretion," provided that nothing "shall be deemed to restrict or prohibit any "Equity Interest Disposition by a Third Party Owner" as long as that buyer is not a "Prohibited Person," which includes those convicted of felonies.

While the above language suggests relatively relaxed terms regarding such transfers, if the planned auctions come with the obligation to complete the affordable housing--or even a requirement to negotiate with ESD--that implies a huge role for the state authority.

Is this a feint?

As I wrote, the notice states the Security Party "reserves the right to cancel the sale in its entirety, or to adjourn the sale to a future date by announcement made at the time and place scheduled for the public sale."

That means that any state imposition or renegotiation of terms could significantly change the value of the development sites and thus delay or cancel the sale. 

Similarly, the lack of any certainty regarding the obligations also could prompt delays.

Not $249 million

The first pool of investors originally were offered collateral in the B15 development site.

However, that lease was since sold to The Brodsky Organization. That led to a partial repayment in 2019 of about $63 million, so a little more than a quarter of the $249 million total.

Another stakeholder

The Real Deal reported that Fortress Investment Group in 2020 "purchased a stake in the [Atlantic Yards] debt"--presumably at a discount. Fortress has partnered with U.S. Immigration Fund founder Nicholas Mastroianni II on other New York area projects.

Fortress, once the first large private-equity firm to be traded publicly, is now privately owned, "mainly by Abu Dhabi-based sovereign-wealth fund Mubadala Investment," and invests for institutional and private clients.

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