New York's odd federal primary--not to be confused with the state one in September--turned out a huge surprise--in Queens, at least, when first-time candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez beat entrenched incumbent (and Queens Democratic Party kingpin) Rep. Joe Crowley.
So, in a low-turnout primary, ideas, organization, and shoe leather can turn out a win, especially when the district's demographics change and the incumbent spent big money on mail but not so much time in the district.
And in Brooklyn
Um, Bunkeddeko is maybe to her right on charter schools, so I glean secondhand, but he was by no means to her right on Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park. Simply trying to tell the truth about the project upsets the status quo, which is overseen by Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio, both Democrats.
With his Harvard MBA and appealing story, as the son of refugees, he garnered an unusual New York Times endorsement. This positions him to run again in two years. And maybe get more coverage.
The establishment
Here's the 2006 primary results:
A far lower turnout in 2018, without an open seat and four viable candidates, with more money to spend on ads and turnout, more volunteers, and more news coverage:
“We meet a machine with a movement. That is what we have done today.” @Ocasio2018 looks up at @NY1 screen and realizes how big her lead is. #NY14 pic.twitter.com/SFSLQPqTXP— Pat Kiernan (@patkiernan) June 27, 2018
since APPARENTLY this needs to be clarified, I didn't say the Times never mentioned her. she was included in a couple of political roundup pieces, and there was an editorial criticizing Crowley for not debating her. both are different from an article about the race.— Megan Greenwell (@megreenwell) June 27, 2018
So, in a low-turnout primary, ideas, organization, and shoe leather can turn out a win, especially when the district's demographics change and the incumbent spent big money on mail but not so much time in the district.
Idk obviously they're not incompatible but she seems pretty angry if you listen to her talk about millions of Americans being deprived health care, or families facing deportation, or ... https://t.co/c2aoxvgzUl— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) June 27, 2018
And in Brooklyn
Pure outsider status is also significant. The Adam Bunkeddeko case serves as a good counterpoint: He might actually be to Clarke's right, and isn't a woman, but still almost pulled off a win. So it's a combination of factors, but just being "not establishment" is a big one. https://t.co/EJEEb0K4TJ— Parker Richards (@ParkerTRichards) June 27, 2018
Um, Bunkeddeko is maybe to her right on charter schools, so I glean secondhand, but he was by no means to her right on Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park. Simply trying to tell the truth about the project upsets the status quo, which is overseen by Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio, both Democrats.
With his Harvard MBA and appealing story, as the son of refugees, he garnered an unusual New York Times endorsement. This positions him to run again in two years. And maybe get more coverage.
Note the demographics, which show the challenger beat the incumbent in Prospect Heights and Park Slope, near the Atlantic Yards/Pacific Park site:with the Clarke race in #NY9 so close, this keeps crossing my mind: What if the district had had thorough local coverage throughout the race?— Rachel Holliday Smith (@rachelholliday) June 27, 2018
DNAinfo got shut down just weeks after Bunkeddeko announced. Not suggesting it's one-to-one. But, man, the city deserves more reporting!
In #NY09, Rep Yvette Clarke (blue) wins a close primary against Adem Bunkeddeko (red) by 4%, or just under 1,100 votes. This district is in Kings County. Neighborhoods like Brownsville & East Flatbush went to Clarke, Bunkeddeko did best in Park Slope & Prospect Heights. #nypol pic.twitter.com/j5t2TKqPMK
— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) June 27, 2018
The establishment
This is de Blasio in a nutshell. A bit further to the left than some Democrats but still largely a creature of the establishment. Endorsed Hillary over Bernie, Cuomo over Teachout. Can't think of a single primary in which he didn't endorse the heavily favored candidate. https://t.co/I8seHM8zIB— Nick Powell (@nickpowellchron) June 27, 2018
A lower turnoutIf even a couple Democratic Brooklyn electeds had gotten behind @adembunkeddeko, the 9th CD would have new representation come January.— Eric McClure (@EricMcClureBK) June 27, 2018
Here's the 2006 primary results:
A far lower turnout in 2018, without an open seat and four viable candidates, with more money to spend on ads and turnout, more volunteers, and more news coverage:
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